Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 404.932375 464.529217 532.264176 615.447504 715.531325 832.929442 982.326562
2024-12-15 318.290044 394.069913 489.023177 618.716675 794.390796 1028.786066 1373.478596
2024-12-22 265.643727 345.027980 450.896974 606.046513 834.033583 1167.647035 1714.701259
2024-12-29 234.015150 315.665086 430.121949 607.824120 887.513643 1331.044456 2133.823555
2025-01-05 205.991010 286.181353 403.094851 593.233247 909.892168 1447.379357 2508.159080
2025-01-12 186.472997 265.925304 385.900911 589.428317 946.625459 1593.403949 2983.136716
2025-01-19 164.726888 239.533729 355.510175 558.677309 930.016446 1637.685159 3267.307528
2025-01-26 157.771418 235.038466 358.843573 584.749353 1019.861813 1906.931360 4151.517167
2025-02-02 153.344795 233.898198 367.219115 620.593621 1135.347717 2261.341409 5416.613134
2025-02-09 143.766766 223.196812 357.908729 622.015895 1181.295901 2475.194736 6419.102884
2025-02-16 132.476670 208.512980 339.954482 604.060769 1182.225867 2582.375009 7162.452380
2025-02-23 123.028633 196.164602 324.898043 589.708106 1188.332324 2704.649021 8031.218458
2025-03-02 118.832792 192.852113 326.412727 610.248653 1281.536484 3095.163290 10176.631329
2025-03-09 112.843793 185.824547 320.252434 613.856555 1335.529181 3398.030408 12260.001150
2025-03-16 105.625930 175.932785 307.546562 601.303733 1346.024759 3574.462234 13955.288673
2025-03-23 100.668957 169.815515 301.616260 603.064085 1394.705129 3893.324366 16717.736246
2025-03-30 94.517600 160.971422 289.384669 588.615450 1396.130931 4053.976720 18812.806120
2025-04-06 89.949683 154.816155 282.074632 584.847471 1427.384876 4336.890790 22068.423872
2025-04-13 83.294529 144.179198 264.608086 554.392898 1374.482821 4283.118021 22977.105258
2025-04-20 82.166198 144.270303 269.671453 580.213865 1497.854658 4987.500325 30885.985569
2025-04-27 81.801878 145.832745 278.015746 615.708401 1662.257354 5969.062338 43951.811599
2025-05-04 78.751862 141.736716 273.578619 617.116692 1714.894061 6473.550108 53782.114331
2025-05-11 74.506775 134.922416 262.529007 599.337501 1697.510877 6626.096828 59864.816283